NOAA forecasts an “above-normal” 2022 Atlantic hurricane season
(KTEN) – With just one week to go until the start of hurricane season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its outlook for the 2022 season, predicting an “above-normal” number of named storms.
NOAA is predicting 14 to 21 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes, and 3 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). These numbers are greater than the 30-year averages (1991-2020) of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.
Last month, researchers at Colorado State University released their predictions for the 2022 season, also saying it will likely be above-average, with 19 named storms and nine hurricanes, including four major hurricanes.
The past several hurricane seasons have seen large numbers of named storms, and if 2022 is above-normal, it would be the seventh consecutive year it’s been above-normal, NOAA administrator Rick Spinrad said.
The 2021 season was the third-most active season on record, with 21 named storms and seven hurricanes.
The most destructive storm of 2021 was category 4 Hurricane Ida, which came ashore near Port Fourchon, Louisiana, on August 29. When Ida made landfall, maximum sustained winds were estimated around 150 mph.
Ida was the second most intense hurricane to strike Louisiana, after Hurricane Katrina in 2005.
The 2020 Atlantic season was record-breaking, with 30 named storms and 13 hurricanes, including six major hurricanes. It was only the second time the Greek alphabet was utilized to complete a season.
After the 2020 season, the Greek alphabet was discontinued and a list of supplemental names is now used.
NOAA's updated predictions will be issued in August, before the peak of hurricane season.