The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany Increases - KTEN.com - No One Gets You Closer

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany Increases

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SOURCE The Conference Board

BRUSSELS, April 23, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany increased 0.3 percent in February to 109.4 (2004 = 100), following a 0.6 percent increase in January, and a 0.3 percent increase in December.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Germany, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.3 percent in February to 108.5 (2004 = 100), following a 0.4 percent increase in January, and a 0.1 percent decline in December.

The LEI for Germany increased for the fifth consecutive month in February, although its six-month growth rate has moderated recently. The CEI increased again in February and has been on an upward trend for the past 12 months. Taken together, the recent behavior of the composite indexes suggests that the economy will continue expanding moderately through the first half of 2014.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Germany include:

New Orders, Investment Goods 
Yield Spread cumulated, 10 year minus 3 month 
Change in Inventories 
Gross Enterprise and Property Income 
Stock Prices 
New Orders, Residential Construction 
Consumer Confidence Index 

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is a global, independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.

For more information including full press release and technical notes:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=4 

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: 
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

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Summary Table of Composite Indexes













2013


2014


6-month



Dec


Jan


Feb


Aug to Feb











Leading Economic Index (LEI)

108.4

p

109.1

p

109.4




Percent Change

0.3

p

0.6

p

0.3

p

1.7

p


Diffusion

85.7


92.9


71.4


85.7












Coincident Economic Index (CEI)

107.8


108.2


108.5





Percent Change

-0.1


0.4


0.3


0.8



Diffusion

75.0


100.0


100.0


100.0












n.a. Not available      p Preliminary      r Revised  

Indexes equal 100 in 2004  

Source: The Conference Board      All Rights Reserved  

 

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